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Criterion
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper illustration for Flywheel.
Growth
Flywheel
Paper illustration of Hooked Model with its method-specific working model.
Growth
Hooked Model
Paper illustration for Failure Scenario Analysis.
Engineering
Failure Scenario Analysis
Purposedifferent
In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.Growth often breaks down where a reinforcing mechanism builds up too much friction. A Flywheel shows the cycle of value, repetition, and reinforcement meant to sustain growth.The Hooked Model helps clarify engagement loops, user behavior, and experiments. It makes repeat behavior measurable and captures the result as a hooked loop, trigger map, and reward design.In critical processes, it is not enough to plan only for the normal case. Failure Scenario Analysis looks at the path into failure and shows which failures, chains, and control gaps cause the most damage.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumMediumMedium
Timedifferent
20–45 min60-120 minMultiple workshops over several weeks1-3 h
Participantsdifferent
Small cross-functional group3-82-83-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logFlywheel Map, Friction Points, Growth Levers, Experiment BacklogHooked loop, Trigger map, Reward design, Ethics checkFailure Scenarios, Risk Notes, Control Gaps, Test and Response Actions
Tagsno overlap
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
GrowthRetentionConversion
GrowthBehaviorRetention
FailureResilienceRisk
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