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Criterion
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper illustration for Flywheel.
Growth
Flywheel
Decision Tree method illustration showing its working structure
Decision Making
Decision Tree
Paper illustration for Failure Scenario Analysis.
Engineering
Failure Scenario Analysis
Purposedifferent
In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.Growth often breaks down where a reinforcing mechanism builds up too much friction. A Flywheel shows the cycle of value, repetition, and reinforcement meant to sustain growth.For decisions with follow-on paths and dependencies, a linear comparison is often not enough. A Decision Tree shows how options branch under conditions and which consequences hang on each branch.In critical processes, it is not enough to plan only for the normal case. Failure Scenario Analysis looks at the path into failure and shows which failures, chains, and control gaps cause the most damage.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumMediumMedium
Timedifferent
20–45 min60-120 min30-90 min1-3 h
Participantsdifferent
Small cross-functional group3-81-63-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logFlywheel Map, Friction Points, Growth Levers, Experiment BacklogDecision Tree, Option Map, Assumption ListFailure Scenarios, Risk Notes, Control Gaps, Test and Response Actions
Tagsno overlap
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
GrowthRetentionConversion
DecisionTreeOptions
FailureResilienceRisk
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