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Criterion
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper illustration for Failure Scenario Analysis.
Engineering
Failure Scenario Analysis
Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test
Purposedifferent
In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.In critical processes, it is not enough to plan only for the normal case. Failure Scenario Analysis looks at the path into failure and shows which failures, chains, and control gaps cause the most damage.When an idea hinges on one critical unknown, it prioritizes testing that exact piece of uncertainty first. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritized list of assumptions, a test plan, and a result report.When demand is still unclear, it measures interest in a feature before it is built. It separates real behavior from polite agreement and deliberately keeps build effort small.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumMediumMedium
Timedifferent
20–45 min1-3 h1-2 Wochen pro Iteration1-5 Tage
Participantsdifferent
Small cross-functional group3-82-6Nutzertraffic
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logFailure Scenarios, Risk Notes, Control Gaps, Test and Response ActionsPrioritized Assumption List, Test Plan, Results ReportClick Data, Interest Signal, Learning Decision
Tagsno overlap
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
FailureResilienceRisk
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryAssumptions
ValidationExperimentsDemandDiscovery
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