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Criterion
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
Paper illustration of a two-by-two Ansoff Matrix with four growth directions
Business Strategy
Ansoff Matrix
Purposedifferent
In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.The Ansoff Matrix organizes growth options by market and product relation. It helps weigh expansion, diversification, and adaptation cleanly against each other.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighHighLow
Timedifferent
20–45 min1-4 Wochen1-4 Wochen45-90 min
Participantsdifferent
Small cross-functional group6-30 Experten1-62-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopAsyncAsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summaryAnsoff Matrix, Growth Options, Risk Notes
Tagsno overlap
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
GrowthStrategyMarketPortfolio
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