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Criterion
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper illustration for Causal Factor Analysis.
Operations
Causal Factor Analysis
Paper fishbone diagram with a measurable effect at the head and six labeled cause branches.
Operations
Fishbone Diagram
Paper illustration for Root Cause Tree Analysis
Operations
Root Cause Tree Analysis
Purposedifferent
In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.For an event with a complicated course, the method breaks down the contributing factors along the timeline. It shows how conditions, decisions, and reactions together produce a course of events.When a problem has several possible contributing factors, the method sorts causes by cause areas. It prevents an initial hunch from blocking the view of other plausible drivers.For a problem with several suspected causes, the method builds a causal structure instead of a mere list. It makes visible how causes connect and where the strongest points of leverage lie.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighLowMedium
Timedifferent
20–45 min2-6 h30-60 min1-3 h
Participantsdifferent
Small cross-functional group3-102-82-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logEvent Timeline, Causal Factor Chart, Cause List, Corrective ActionsFishbone Diagram, Cause Categories, Investigation BacklogCause Tree, Evidence Notes, Countermeasures
Tagsno overlap
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
CausalityIncidentRoot causeTimeline
Root causeQualityOperations
Root causeTreeIncidentQuality
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