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| Criterion |  Decision Making Pre-Mortem |  Operations Bottleneck Analysis |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Business Strategy Business Model Stress Test |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures. | For a flow that backs up at one point, the method looks for the capacity limit with the greatest leverage. It explains why extra effort elsewhere barely improves throughput. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | A Business Model Stress Test checks how well a business model holds up under pressure and headwinds. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a stress-test report and action plan per scenario. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Medium | High | High |
Timedifferent | 20–45 min | 1-3 h | 1-4 Wochen | Half day |
Participantsdifferent | Small cross-functional group | 3-8 | 6-30 Experten | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log | Bottleneck Map, Flow Metrics, Improvement Options, Follow-up Measures | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Stress Test Report, Action Plan per Scenario |
Tagsno overlap | RiskDecisionFailurePlanning | FlowMeasurementConstraints | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | StrategyBusiness modelRiskDiagnosis |