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Criterion
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration for Contradiction Analysis.
Innovation
Contradiction Analysis
Paper illustration for TRIZ
Innovation
TRIZ
Purposedifferent
In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.When a system should improve while another measure suffers as a result, the method makes the underlying conflict precisely formulable. It separates the desired effect from its side effect. This makes solutions possible that address the contradiction deliberately instead of half-heartedly.For technical contradictions or trade-offs, the method looks for solutions that resolve opposing requirements at the same time. It translates limits into an explicit picture of conflict that becomes workable. This produces not just compromises but more elegant principles.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumMediumHigh
Timedifferent
20–45 min45-60 min60-120 min1-4 h
Participantsdifferent
Small cross-functional group2-82-82-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingContradiction Statement, Abstraction Notes, Solution Principles, Concept IdeasContradiction Statement, Inventive Principles, Solution Concepts
Tagsno overlap
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
ContradictionsInnovationProblem solving
InnovationProblem solvingContradictionsCreativity
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