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Criterion
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper illustration of a two-by-two Ansoff Matrix with four growth directions
Business Strategy
Ansoff Matrix
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of Business Model Stress Test with its method-specific working model.
Business Strategy
Business Model Stress Test
Purposedifferent
In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.The Ansoff Matrix organizes growth options by market and product relation. It helps weigh expansion, diversification, and adaptation cleanly against each other.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.A Business Model Stress Test checks how well a business model holds up under pressure and headwinds. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a stress-test report and action plan per scenario.
Complexitydifferent
LowLowHighHigh
Timedifferent
20–45 min45-90 min1-4 WochenHalf day
Participantsdifferent
Small cross-functional group2-86-30 Experten3-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logAnsoff Matrix, Growth Options, Risk NotesExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesStress Test Report, Action Plan per Scenario
Tagsno overlap
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
GrowthStrategyMarketPortfolio
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
StrategyBusiness modelRiskDiagnosis
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