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Criterion
Paper illustration of Porter’s five competitive forces
Business Strategy
Porter Five Forces
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Purposedifferent
Porter Five Forces analyzes the forces that shape competitive pressure and profitability in a market. The view of market structure goes beyond individual competitors and reveals systemic pressure points.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.When an idea hinges on one critical unknown, it prioritizes testing that exact piece of uncertainty first. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritized list of assumptions, a test plan, and a result report.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighMediumMedium
Timedifferent
1-3 h1-4 Wochen45-60 min1-2 Wochen pro Iteration
Participantsdifferent
2-86-30 Experten2-82-6
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Five Forces Analysis, Competitive Risks, Strategic OptionsExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingPrioritized Assumption List, Test Plan, Results Report
Tagsno overlap
StrategyCompetitionMarket
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryAssumptions
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