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Criterion
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Paper fishbone diagram with a measurable effect at the head and six labeled cause branches.
Operations
Fishbone Diagram
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Purposedifferent
On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.When a problem has several possible contributing factors, the method sorts causes by cause areas. It prevents an initial hunch from blocking the view of other plausible drivers.A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighLowMedium
Timedifferent
15-45 min1-4 h or multiple rounds30-60 min10-30 min je Item
Participantsdifferent
1-84-12 Experten2-81-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesEstimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus NotesFishbone Diagram, Cause Categories, Investigation BacklogThree-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
EstimationExpertsForecasting
Root causeQualityOperations
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
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