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| Criterion |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  Agile ROAM Board |  Product Strategy Counter Metrics |  Agile Story Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | When work needs to move between different states or columns, it makes that movement and its handoffs legible. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as a ROAM Board and an Owner List. | When a headline metric could mask side effects, it adds guardrail signals against unwanted outcomes. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as a counter-metric list and guardrail definitions. | When teams want to rate complexity rather than hours, it creates a shared, relative scale. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Point Estimates, Reference Stories, and Velocity Data. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 15-45 min | 20-40 min initial, dann laufend | 30-60 min | laufend, 1-5 min je Item |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 3-15 | 2-6 | 3-9 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | ROAM Board, Owner List | Counter Metric List, Guardrail Definitions | Point Estimates, Reference Stories, Velocity Data |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | RiskAgileTrackingAlignment | MetricsMeasurementStrategyExperiments | EstimationAgileMeasurement |