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| Criterion |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  Facilitation Nominal Group Technique |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |  Decision Making Risk Matrix |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | When loud voices could dominate a round, Nominal Group Technique protects individual thinking time from group effects. It collects ideas separately first and only then enables shared weighting. | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | When a project faces many possible disruptions, it quickly becomes unclear which risks deserve attention first. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Risk Matrix and a Top Risk List. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 15-45 min | 60-120 min | 5-20 min | 30-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 5-12 | 3-20 | 3-10 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | Ranked Ideas, Clarified Options, Group Priority | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | Risk Matrix, Top Risk List |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | FacilitationPrioritizationVotingInclusion | EstimationEffortRisk | RiskDecisionPrioritizationAssessment |