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Criterion
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration of MORT Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
MORT Analysis
Paper fishbone diagram with a measurable effect at the head and six labeled cause branches.
Operations
Fishbone Diagram
Paper illustration for Fault Tree Analysis.
Operations
Fault Tree Analysis
Purposedifferent
On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.For a safety-relevant event or a system with high protection requirements, the method examines where controls failed. It exposes both technical and organizational gaps.When a problem has several possible contributing factors, the method sorts causes by cause areas. It prevents an initial hunch from blocking the view of other plausible drivers.For a critical top event with several possible triggers, the method logically models failure paths. It makes visible which combinations of conditions can lead to damage.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighLowHigh
Timedifferent
15-45 minMehrere Tage bis Wochen30-60 min2-6 h
Participantsdifferent
1-82-62-83-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesMORT Worksheets, Findings per Branch, Corrective Actions, Systemic RecommendationsFishbone Diagram, Cause Categories, Investigation BacklogFault Tree, Critical Paths, Cause Hypotheses, Control Actions
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
Root causeSafetySystemicIncident
Root causeQualityOperations
RiskRoot causeSafety
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