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Criterion
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration of a four-column Kanban board with limited ongoing work, a visible blocker and a review loop.
Engineering
Kanban
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Purposedifferent
On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.When work sits in too many parallel streams, throughput suffers and no one sees the bottlenecks. Kanban makes the flow of work visible and limits overload so a system becomes calmer and more predictable.A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
15-45 minOngoing10-30 min je Item5-20 min
Participantsdifferent
1-82-121-83-20
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesKanban board, WIP policies, Flow metricsThree-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
FlowVisual managementDelivery
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
EstimationEffortRisk
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