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Criterion
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration of an IBIS map with issues, positions and arguments
Knowledge Modeling
IBIS
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration for Argument Mapping
Decision Making
Argument Mapping
Purposedifferent
On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.IBIS structures thinking about complex questions as a sequence of issues, ideas, and arguments. The method keeps discussions open without forcing them into premature consensus.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.When statements, evidence, and counterarguments get mixed up, a debate quickly loses its structure. Argument Mapping breaks a thesis down into its reasoning and makes visible what it really rests on.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumLowMedium
Timedifferent
15-45 min1-3 h5-20 min1-3 h
Participantsdifferent
1-82-83-201-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesIssue Map, Positions, Argument NotesEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsArgument Map, Evidence Gaps, Decision Rationale
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
RationaleKnowledgeDecision
EstimationEffortRisk
SensemakingDecisionRationale
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