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Criterion
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper notes move from an inbox to action, project and calendar collections.
Operations
Getting Things Done
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration for ALPEN Method
Operations
ALPEN Method
Purposedifferent
On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.With many open commitments and ideas in daily life, a reliable external storage system emerges. The method relieves the mind so priority and context don't have to compete in memory.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumLowLow
Timedifferent
15-45 min1-2 h Setup, laufend5-20 min10-20 min daily
Participantsdifferent
1-813-201
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshopAsync
Outputdifferent
PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesAction Lists, Project List, Review RoutineEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsDaily Plan, Time Estimates, Review Notes
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
ProductivityPlanningTasksExecution
EstimationEffortRisk
PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations
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