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| Criterion |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  Business Strategy 5-Minuten VC-Check |  Product Discovery Pretotyping |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | The 5-Minute VC Check clarifies opportunities and strategic options at the earliest idea stage. It compares problem quality, customer willingness to pay, alternatives, differentiation, and market potential, and captures the result as a VC-check note, go/sharpen/park decision, and risk list. | Pretotyping clarifies whether a customer problem and solution idea create enough real demand. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence, and captures the result as a pretotyping sketch, test setup, and conversion data. | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 15-45 min | 5-15 min | Stunden bis wenige Tage | 5-20 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 3-20 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | VC-check note, Go/sharpen/park decision, Risk and assumption list, Next validation step | Pretotyping sketch, Test setup, Conversion data, Go or no-go decision | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | StartupValidationCompetition | ValidationDemandMVP | EstimationEffortRisk |