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| Criterion |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  Engineering Failure Scenario Analysis |  Agile ROAM Board |  Agile Planning Poker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | In critical processes, it is not enough to plan only for the normal case. Failure Scenario Analysis looks at the path into failure and shows which failures, chains, and control gaps cause the most damage. | When work needs to move between different states or columns, it makes that movement and its handoffs legible. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as a ROAM Board and an Owner List. | When estimates within the team diverge too much, it puts differing expectations on a common test bench. It separates rough complexity from unspoken assumptions. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 15-45 min | 1-3 h | 20-40 min initial, dann laufend | 2-5 min je Item |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 3-8 | 3-15 | 3-9 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | Failure Scenarios, Risk Notes, Control Gaps, Test and Response Actions | ROAM Board, Owner List | Relative Estimates, Assumption Notes, Split Candidates |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | FailureResilienceRisk | RiskAgileTrackingAlignment | EstimationAgileRelative sizingTeam |