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Criterion
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud
Paper illustration of a Concept Map with concepts and labelled links
Knowledge Modeling
Concept Mapping
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Purposedifferent
On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict.Concept Mapping arranges terms and relationships in a network that makes subject-matter connections tangible. It fits when a topic needs to be understood structurally rather than linearly.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
15-45 min60-120 min1-2 h5-20 min
Participantsdifferent
1-82-81-83-20
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesConflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next ExperimentsConcept Map, Relationship Labels, Knowledge GapsEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking
KnowledgeConceptsMappingSensemaking
EstimationEffortRisk
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