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| Criterion |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |  Agile ROAM Board |  Agile Story Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | When work needs to move between different states or columns, it makes that movement and its handoffs legible. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as a ROAM Board and an Owner List. | When teams want to rate complexity rather than hours, it creates a shared, relative scale. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Point Estimates, Reference Stories, and Velocity Data. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 15-45 min | 5-20 min | 20-40 min initial, dann laufend | laufend, 1-5 min je Item |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 3-20 | 3-15 | 3-9 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | ROAM Board, Owner List | Point Estimates, Reference Stories, Velocity Data |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | EstimationEffortRisk | RiskAgileTrackingAlignment | EstimationAgileMeasurement |