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| Criterion |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |  Delivery RAID Log |  Agile ROAM Board |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as a RAID Log and a source for status reporting. | When work needs to move between different states or columns, it makes that movement and its handoffs legible. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as a ROAM Board and an Owner List. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 15-45 min | 5-20 min | 30 min Setup, dann laufend | 20-40 min initial, dann laufend |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 3-20 | 1-3 maintaining, briefing for everyone | 3-15 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | RAID Log, Status Report Source | ROAM Board, Owner List |
Tags1 shared | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | EstimationEffortRisk | RiskTrackingStakeholdersGovernance | RiskAgileTrackingAlignment |