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| Criterion |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |  DevOps Incident Command |  DevOps Blameless Postmortem |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | During an acute incident with several people involved, the method creates a clear leadership and communication structure. It reduces chaos when fast coordination and clean situational awareness are both needed at once. | After an incident with damage or a near miss, the method creates a sober field for learning without assigning blame. It directs attention to the course of events, conditions, and effective countermeasures. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 15-45 min | 5-20 min | As needed | 30-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 3-20 | 4-15 | 3-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | Incident Log, Action Tracker, Stakeholder Updates | Postmortem Doc, Action Items, Timeline |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | EstimationEffortRisk | IncidentOperationsReliability | Site Reliability EngineeringIncidentLearningReliability |