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| Criterion |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |  Agile Ideal Days |  Agile ROAM Board |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | When effort needs to be thought of as real working time, it offers a simple common denominator for comparison. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, and Capacity Caveats. | When work needs to move between different states or columns, it makes that movement and its handoffs legible. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as a ROAM Board and an Owner List. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 15-45 min | 5-20 min | 15-60 min | 20-40 min initial, dann laufend |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 3-20 | 2-9 | 3-15 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, Capacity Caveats | ROAM Board, Owner List |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | EstimationEffortRisk | EstimationEffortAgile | RiskAgileTrackingAlignment |