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Criterion
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration for Flywheel.
Growth
Flywheel
Paper illustration of Hooked Model with its method-specific working model.
Growth
Hooked Model
Purposedifferent
On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.Growth often breaks down where a reinforcing mechanism builds up too much friction. A Flywheel shows the cycle of value, repetition, and reinforcement meant to sustain growth.The Hooked Model helps clarify engagement loops, user behavior, and experiments. It makes repeat behavior measurable and captures the result as a hooked loop, trigger map, and reward design.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowMediumMedium
Timedifferent
15-45 min5-20 min60-120 minMultiple workshops over several weeks
Participantsdifferent
1-83-203-82-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsFlywheel Map, Friction Points, Growth Levers, Experiment BacklogHooked loop, Trigger map, Reward design, Ethics check
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
EstimationEffortRisk
GrowthRetentionConversion
GrowthBehaviorRetention
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