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| Criterion | ![]() Decision Making PERT Estimation | ![]() Operations Barrier Analysis | ![]() Facilitation Dot Estimation | ![]() Operations MORT Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | For a risk that can only be managed through multiple layers of protection, the method examines the effectiveness of each barrier. It shows where safeguards are missing, too weak, or fail under real conditions. | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | For a safety-relevant event or a system with high protection requirements, the method examines where controls failed. It exposes both technical and organizational gaps. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | Low | High |
Timedifferent | 15-45 min | 2-4 h | 5-20 min | Mehrere Tage bis Wochen |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 2-6 | 3-20 | 2-6 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | Barrier Inventory, Failure Analysis per Barrier, Action Backlog | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | MORT Worksheets, Findings per Branch, Corrective Actions, Systemic Recommendations |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | Root causeSafetyIncident | EstimationEffortRisk | Root causeSafetySystemicIncident |



