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Criterion
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration of Barrier Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
Barrier Analysis
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
A 5 Whys working surface connects an observable problem with evidenced causes, marked uncertainty and concrete countermeasures with ownership.
Operations
5 Whys
Purposedifferent
On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.For a risk that can only be managed through multiple layers of protection, the method examines the effectiveness of each barrier. It shows where safeguards are missing, too weak, or fail under real conditions.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.For a single, hard-to-explain deviation, the method exposes the causal chain behind the visible symptom. It keeps the cause open until a controllable condition emerges instead of a mere description.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumLowLow
Timedifferent
15-45 min2-4 h5-20 min15-30 min
Participantsdifferent
1-82-63-202-6
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesBarrier Inventory, Failure Analysis per Barrier, Action BacklogEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsRoot cause notes, Countermeasures
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
Root causeSafetyIncident
EstimationEffortRisk
Root causeIncidentLeanProblem solving
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