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Criterion
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for 8D Problem Solving.
Operations
8D Problem Solving
Paper illustration for Root Cause Analysis.
Operations
Root Cause Analysis
Purposedifferent
On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.For an acute quality or delivery problem, the method structures immediate protection and root cause work together. It keeps the situation stable while the actual cause is investigated cleanly.When a problem keeps recurring and the cause stays unclear, the method exposes the underlying mechanism. It separates symptom, guess, and robust explanation from one another.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowHighMedium
Timedifferent
15-45 min45-90 min1-6 Wochen1-4 h
Participantsdifferent
1-82-84-103-8
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan8D Report, Containment Plan, Root Cause Evidence, Corrective Action PlanProblem Statement, Cause Hypotheses, Confirmed Causes, Action Plan
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
QualityProblem solvingRoot cause
Root causeProblem solvingQualityIncident
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