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Criterion
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
A 5 Whys working surface connects an observable problem with evidenced causes, marked uncertainty and concrete countermeasures with ownership.
Operations
5 Whys
Paper fishbone diagram with a measurable effect at the head and six labeled cause branches.
Operations
Fishbone Diagram
A3 Problem-Solving workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Operations
A3 Problem Solving
Purposedifferent
On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.For a single, hard-to-explain deviation, the method exposes the causal chain behind the visible symptom. It keeps the cause open until a controllable condition emerges instead of a mere description.When a problem has several possible contributing factors, the method sorts causes by cause areas. It prevents an initial hunch from blocking the view of other plausible drivers.For a complex deviation with several people involved, the method bundles problem, analysis, and decision onto one page. It creates a shared working space where causes, countermeasures, and follow-up fit together.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowLowMedium
Timedifferent
15-45 min15-30 min30-60 min45-90 min
Participantsdifferent
1-82-62-82-5
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesRoot cause notes, CountermeasuresFishbone Diagram, Cause Categories, Investigation BacklogA3 Report, Action Plan, Root Cause Analysis
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
Root causeIncidentLeanProblem solving
Root causeQualityOperations
LeanProblem solvingCoachingOperations
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