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| Criterion |  Operations PDCA Cycle |  Agile NoEstimates |  Operations Gemba Walk |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | For an improvement that still has to prove itself in everyday work, the method runs it through small learning loops. It connects planning, checking, and standardization into a repeatable learning mode. | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | When there is uncertainty about the real course of a process, the method brings observation to the place where work happens. It combines perception, follow-up questions, and process knowledge so decisions rest on actual workflows instead of assumptions. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Medium | Low | High |
Timedifferent | 1 h bis mehrere Wochen | laufend | 30-120 min | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 2-12 | 2-6 | 1-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | PDCA Log, Experiment Plan, Learning Outcome, Standard Change | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Observation Notes, Improvement Ideas | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication |
Tagsno overlap | Continuous improvementLeanExperiments | EstimationForecastingFlow | LeanObservationProcessOperations | ForecastingFlowDelivery |