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| Criterion |  Knowledge Modeling PARA Method |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The PARA Method organizes knowledge into Projects, Areas, Resources, and Archives. It creates order when digital notes, files, and tasks no longer cleanly fit current work. | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-3 h Setup, laufend | 15-45 min | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 5-20 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1 | 1-8 | 4-12 Experten | 3-20 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | PARA Structure, Project Notes, Knowledge Archive | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets |
Tagsno overlap | KnowledgeProductivityOrganization | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | EstimationExpertsForecasting | EstimationEffortRisk |