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Criterion
Four paper collections for projects, responsibilities, resources and archives.
Knowledge Modeling
PARA Method
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
Paper illustration of a two-by-two Ansoff Matrix with four growth directions
Business Strategy
Ansoff Matrix
Purposedifferent
The PARA Method organizes knowledge into Projects, Areas, Resources, and Archives. It creates order when digital notes, files, and tasks no longer cleanly fit current work.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all.The Ansoff Matrix organizes growth options by market and product relation. It helps weigh expansion, diversification, and adaptation cleanly against each other.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighLowLow
Timedifferent
1-3 h Setup, laufend1-4 Wochen1-5 Tage45-90 min
Participantsdifferent
16-30 ExpertenNutzertraffic2-8
Formatdifferent
AsyncAsyncAsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
PARA Structure, Project Notes, Knowledge ArchiveExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesInterest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning NoteAnsoff Matrix, Growth Options, Risk Notes
Tagsno overlap
KnowledgeProductivityOrganization
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth
GrowthStrategyMarketPortfolio
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