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Criterion
Paper illustration of a branching tree with an outcome at its root, customer opportunities, solution options and small experiment cards.
Product Discovery
Opportunity Solution Tree
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration of a Test Card with four fields for hypothesis, test, metric, and success threshold.
Product Discovery
Test Card
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Purposedifferent
When discovery keeps swinging between goals, ideas, and learning loops, it creates clear steering logic. It connects the desired outcome, opportunities, and experiments into a legible structure.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.The Test Card turns a critical assumption into a testable claim and specifies in advance which result counts as success.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowLowMedium
Timedifferent
1-2 h Setup, laufend5-20 min20-35 min45-60 min
Participantsdifferent
2-63-201-52-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Opportunity Solution Tree, Experiment Backlog, Learning LogEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsTest Card with a pre-set thresholdAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking
Tagsno overlap
DiscoveryOutcomesExperimentsOpportunity
EstimationEffortRisk
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
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