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Criterion
Paper illustration for NoEstimates.
Agile
NoEstimates
Paper illustration for Waste Analysis.
Operations
Waste Analysis
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Value Stream Mapping workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Delivery
Value Stream Mapping
Purposedifferent
When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules.For a process that keeps people busy but creates little value, the method exposes waste. It directs attention to unnecessary movement, waiting times, rework, and overdelivery.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.When delivery work dissolves into wait times, handoffs, and hidden effort, Value Stream Mapping makes the actual flow visible. The method exposes bottlenecks, idle time, and feedback loops so lead time and improvement levers become tangible.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowLowMedium
Timedifferent
laufend45-120 min5-20 min1-3 h
Participantsdifferent
2-122-83-204-10
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing RulesWaste Map, Prioritized Waste, Improvement BacklogEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsCurrent-state map, Future-state map, Bottleneck list
Tagsno overlap
EstimationForecastingFlow
WasteLeanProcess improvement
EstimationEffortRisk
LeanFlowWasteDelivery
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