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| Criterion |  Agile NoEstimates |  Delivery Value Stream Mapping |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Operations Waste Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | When delivery work dissolves into wait times, handoffs, and hidden effort, Value Stream Mapping makes the actual flow visible. The method exposes bottlenecks, idle time, and feedback loops so lead time and improvement levers become tangible. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | For a process that keeps people busy but creates little value, the method exposes waste. It directs attention to unnecessary movement, waiting times, rework, and overdelivery. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | High | Low |
Timedifferent | laufend | 1-3 h | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 45-120 min |
Participantsdifferent | 2-12 | 4-10 | 1-8 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Current-state map, Future-state map, Bottleneck list | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Waste Map, Prioritized Waste, Improvement Backlog |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationForecastingFlow | LeanFlowWasteDelivery | ForecastingFlowDelivery | WasteLeanProcess improvement |