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| Criterion |  Agile NoEstimates |  Product Discovery Opportunity Solution Tree |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Product Strategy Counter Metrics |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | When discovery keeps swinging between goals, ideas, and learning loops, it creates clear steering logic. It connects the desired outcome, opportunities, and experiments into a legible structure. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When a headline metric could mask side effects, it adds guardrail signals against unwanted outcomes. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as a counter-metric list and guardrail definitions. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | High | Low |
Timedifferent | laufend | 1-2 h Setup, laufend | 1-4 Wochen | 30-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 2-12 | 2-6 | 6-30 Experten | 2-6 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Opportunity Solution Tree, Experiment Backlog, Learning Log | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Counter Metric List, Guardrail Definitions |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationForecastingFlow | DiscoveryOutcomesExperimentsOpportunity | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | MetricsMeasurementStrategyExperiments |