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| Criterion |  Agile NoEstimates |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Operations Theory of Constraints |  Operations Process Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | For a system that does not get faster despite effort, the method directs attention to the bottleneck. It concentrates improvement on the point that actually limits throughput. | With a confusing workflow that has many handoffs, the method makes the actual process visible. It shows where work is passed on, delayed, or duplicated, so improvement targets the right spots. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | laufend | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 2-4 h Analyse, laufend | 1-3 h |
Participantsdifferent | 2-12 | 1-8 | 3-12 | 3-10 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Constraint Map, Improvement Plan, Flow Metrics | Process Map, Handoff List, Improvement Backlog |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationForecastingFlow | ForecastingFlowDelivery | OperationsConstraintsFlowImprovement | ProcessOperationsImprovement |