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| Criterion |  Agile NoEstimates |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Product Discovery Learning Card |  Product Discovery MVP Test Matrix |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | The Learning Card connects traceable test results to a reasoned next action while keeping the limits of the insight visible. | When several minimal variants compete to answer the same question, it makes comparing and choosing between them cleaner. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Test Matrix and a Test Plan. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | laufend | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 25-40 min | 45-75 min |
Participantsdifferent | 2-12 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Learning Card with evidence and next action | Test Matrix, Test Plan |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationForecastingFlow | ForecastingFlowDelivery | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryLearning | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryOptions |