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| Criterion |  Agile NoEstimates |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Decision Making Force Field Analysis |  Decision Making OODA Loop |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | In change initiatives, supporting and restraining forces sit at the table at the same time. Force Field Analysis makes these tensions explicit and shows where change can be pushed forward by strengthening or relieving. | In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | laufend | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 45-90 min | 15-60 min je Zyklus |
Participantsdifferent | 2-12 | 1-8 | 3-12 | 1-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Force Field Map, Change Levers, Risk Notes | Situation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action Updates |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationForecastingFlow | ForecastingFlowDelivery | ChangeDecisionStrategy | DecisionChangeLearningStrategy |