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Criterion
Paper illustration for NoEstimates.
Agile
NoEstimates
Iceberg Model method illustration showing its working structure
Systems Thinking
Iceberg Model
Paper illustration for Bottleneck Analysis.
Operations
Bottleneck Analysis
Paper illustration for Behavior Over Time Graph.
Systems Thinking
Behavior Over Time Graph
Purposedifferent
When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules.The Iceberg Model separates visible events from patterns, structures, and mental models. This turns a single observation into a deeper understanding of why a problem keeps recurring.For a flow that backs up at one point, the method looks for the capacity limit with the greatest leverage. It explains why extra effort elsewhere barely improves throughput.A Behavior Over Time Graph shows how a metric or observation develops over time. The method makes trends, breaks, and recurring patterns visible that get lost in snapshots.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowMediumLow
Timedifferent
laufend30-60 min1-3 h20-45 min
Participantsdifferent
2-122-103-81-10
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing RulesIceberg Worksheet, Pattern Notes, Intervention IdeasBottleneck Map, Flow Metrics, Improvement Options, Follow-up MeasuresBehavior Over Time Graph, Trend Hypotheses, Key Events
Tagsno overlap
EstimationForecastingFlow
Systems thinkingRoot causePatterns
FlowMeasurementConstraints
Systems thinkingPatternsDynamics
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