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Criterion
Paper illustration for NoEstimates.
Agile
NoEstimates
Paper illustration of Hooked Model with its method-specific working model.
Growth
Hooked Model
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
A paper-based illustration representing North Star Metric with its core stages and visible working result.
Growth
North Star Metric
Purposedifferent
When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules.The Hooked Model helps clarify engagement loops, user behavior, and experiments. It makes repeat behavior measurable and captures the result as a hooked loop, trigger map, and reward design.A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.When product teams track many metrics, the view of the actual customer outcome easily gets lost. A North Star Metric bundles growth, usage, and value contribution into one signal that makes the system's direction visible.
Complexitysame
MediumMediumMediumMedium
Timedifferent
laufendMultiple workshops over several weeks10-30 min je Item1-2 h
Participantsdifferent
2-122-81-83-8
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing RulesHooked loop, Trigger map, Reward design, Ethics checkThree-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesNorth Star metric, Input metric tree, Measurement cadence
Tagsno overlap
EstimationForecastingFlow
GrowthBehaviorRetention
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
GrowthMetricsAlignmentRetention
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