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| Criterion |  Agile NoEstimates |  Operations Gemba Walk |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Operations Kaizen Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | When there is uncertainty about the real course of a process, the method brings observation to the place where work happens. It combines perception, follow-up questions, and process knowledge so decisions rest on actual workflows instead of assumptions. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | For a tightly scoped process segment with noticeable waste, the method bundles shared energy for change. It suits situations that call for fast learning loops and visible adjustments. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | laufend | 30-120 min | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 0.5-5 Tage |
Participantsdifferent | 2-12 | 2-6 | 1-8 | 4-10 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Observation Notes, Improvement Ideas | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Kaizen Charter, Waste List, Improvement Experiments, Standard Work Update |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationForecastingFlow | LeanObservationProcessOperations | ForecastingFlowDelivery | LeanContinuous improvementOperations |