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| Criterion |  Agile NoEstimates |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |  Agile ROAM Board |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | When work needs to move between different states or columns, it makes that movement and its handoffs legible. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as a ROAM Board and an Owner List. | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | laufend | 5-20 min | 20-40 min initial, dann laufend | 15-45 min |
Participantsdifferent | 2-12 | 3-20 | 3-15 | 1-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | ROAM Board, Owner List | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationForecastingFlow | EstimationEffortRisk | RiskAgileTrackingAlignment | EstimationUncertaintyRisk |