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Criterion
Paper illustration for NoEstimates.
Agile
NoEstimates
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration of a Learning Card with four fields for hypothesis, observation, insight, and action.
Product Discovery
Learning Card
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Purposedifferent
When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.The Learning Card connects traceable test results to a reasoned next action while keeping the limits of the insight visible.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowLowMedium
Timedifferent
laufend5-20 min25-40 min45-60 min
Participantsdifferent
2-123-201-52-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing RulesEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsLearning Card with evidence and next actionAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking
Tagsno overlap
EstimationForecastingFlow
EstimationEffortRisk
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryLearning
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
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