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| Criterion |  Agile NoEstimates |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |  Product Discovery Fake Door Test |  Product Discovery Learning Card |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | When demand is still unclear, it measures interest in a feature before it is built. It separates real behavior from polite agreement and deliberately keeps build effort small. | The Learning Card connects traceable test results to a reasoned next action while keeping the limits of the insight visible. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | laufend | 5-20 min | 1-5 Tage | 25-40 min |
Participantsdifferent | 2-12 | 3-20 | Nutzertraffic | 1-5 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | Click Data, Interest Signal, Learning Decision | Learning Card with evidence and next action |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationForecastingFlow | EstimationEffortRisk | ValidationExperimentsDemandDiscovery | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryLearning |