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| Criterion |  Agile NoEstimates |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |  Product Discovery Fake Door Test |  Product Discovery Experiment Canvas |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | When demand is still unclear, it measures interest in a feature before it is built. It separates real behavior from polite agreement and deliberately keeps build effort small. | When experiments become unreadable after the fact, it arranges hypothesis, signal, and learning goal on a single canvas. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Completed Experiment Canvas and a Success Metric. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | laufend | 5-20 min | 1-5 Tage | 30-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 2-12 | 3-20 | Nutzertraffic | 1-5 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | Click Data, Interest Signal, Learning Decision | Completed Experiment Canvas, Success Metric |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationForecastingFlow | EstimationEffortRisk | ValidationExperimentsDemandDiscovery | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis |