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| Criterion |  Agile NoEstimates |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Product Discovery Smoke Test |  Business Strategy Ansoff Matrix |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all. | The Ansoff Matrix organizes growth options by market and product relation. It helps weigh expansion, diversification, and adaptation cleanly against each other. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | laufend | 1-4 Wochen | 1-5 Tage | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 2-12 | 6-30 Experten | Nutzertraffic | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Interest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning Note | Ansoff Matrix, Growth Options, Risk Notes |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationForecastingFlow | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth | GrowthStrategyMarketPortfolio |