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| Criterion |  Agile NoEstimates |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Growth Flywheel |  Business Strategy Ansoff Matrix |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Growth often breaks down where a reinforcing mechanism builds up too much friction. A Flywheel shows the cycle of value, repetition, and reinforcement meant to sustain growth. | The Ansoff Matrix organizes growth options by market and product relation. It helps weigh expansion, diversification, and adaptation cleanly against each other. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | laufend | 1-4 Wochen | 60-120 min | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 2-12 | 6-30 Experten | 3-8 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Flywheel Map, Friction Points, Growth Levers, Experiment Backlog | Ansoff Matrix, Growth Options, Risk Notes |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationForecastingFlow | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | GrowthRetentionConversion | GrowthStrategyMarketPortfolio |