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| Criterion |  Agile NoEstimates |  DevOps Blameless Postmortem |  DevOps Incident Timeline Analysis |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | After an incident with damage or a near miss, the method creates a sober field for learning without assigning blame. It directs attention to the course of events, conditions, and effective countermeasures. | For an incident with an unclear sequence, the method makes the timeline precisely visible. It separates perception, reaction, and delay so cause and effect become more clearly readable. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | laufend | 30-90 min | 60-180 min | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend |
Participantsdifferent | 2-12 | 3-12 | 3-10 | 1-8 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Postmortem Doc, Action Items, Timeline | Incident Timeline, Evidence Log, Delay Analysis, Improvement Actions | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationForecastingFlow | Site Reliability EngineeringIncidentLearningReliability | IncidentTimelineSite Reliability Engineering | ForecastingFlowDelivery |