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Criterion
Paper illustration for NoEstimates.
Agile
NoEstimates
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Purposedifferent
When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowHighLow
Timedifferent
laufend45-90 min1-4 h or multiple rounds5-20 min
Participantsdifferent
2-122-84-12 Experten3-20
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing RulesAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanEstimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus NotesEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets
Tagsno overlap
EstimationForecastingFlow
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
EstimationExpertsForecasting
EstimationEffortRisk
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