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Criterion
Paper illustration for NoEstimates.
Agile
NoEstimates
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Purposedifferent
When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumHighLow
Timedifferent
laufend45-60 min1-4 Wochen5-20 min
Participantsdifferent
2-122-81-63-20
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing RulesAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summaryEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets
Tagsno overlap
EstimationForecastingFlow
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
EstimationEffortRisk
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